WEBVTT 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:00.540 align:middle line:90% 00:00:00.540 --> 00:00:02.070 align:middle line:90% Wow, Oregon. 00:00:02.070 --> 00:00:03.790 align:middle line:90% Oregon has a serious history. 00:00:03.790 --> 00:00:05.430 align:middle line:84% Do you know that free Black people 00:00:05.430 --> 00:00:11.900 align:middle line:84% weren't allowed to be in Oregon until the late 1920s? 00:00:11.900 --> 00:00:12.540 align:middle line:90% So you know. 00:00:12.540 --> 00:00:18.690 align:middle line:90% 00:00:18.690 --> 00:00:20.310 align:middle line:90% I have so many people to thank. 00:00:20.310 --> 00:00:22.860 align:middle line:90% 00:00:22.860 --> 00:00:28.360 align:middle line:84% I want to thank Hannah and Brian and Lisa, and Sarah 00:00:28.360 --> 00:00:34.560 align:middle line:84% squared, and Gregg, and Tyler, and my wonderful docents who 00:00:34.560 --> 00:00:38.970 align:middle line:84% drove me and took me to Rosa's Mexican yesterday 00:00:38.970 --> 00:00:42.330 align:middle line:84% for the most delicious bowl of soup, which I really needed 00:00:42.330 --> 00:00:44.340 align:middle line:90% because I have a bit of a cold. 00:00:44.340 --> 00:00:48.150 align:middle line:84% And all the faculty and students who welcomed me today, 00:00:48.150 --> 00:00:50.820 align:middle line:90% and Mathias for my dreams. 00:00:50.820 --> 00:00:56.830 align:middle line:84% And Aisha and everyone at the Poetry Center, and, of course, 00:00:56.830 --> 00:00:57.880 align:middle line:90% all of you. 00:00:57.880 --> 00:01:02.610 align:middle line:84% Thank you for taking the time to come and think 00:01:02.610 --> 00:01:03.780 align:middle line:90% about the world with me. 00:01:03.780 --> 00:01:07.080 align:middle line:90% 00:01:07.080 --> 00:01:13.050 align:middle line:84% In the 2005 book, Living With The Changing California Coast, 00:01:13.050 --> 00:01:16.230 align:middle line:84% authors Gary Griggs, and Kiki Patsch, 00:01:16.230 --> 00:01:24.810 align:middle line:84% and Lauret Savoy inform us that 80% of California's 35 million 00:01:24.810 --> 00:01:28.900 align:middle line:84% people now live within 30 miles of the shoreline. 00:01:28.900 --> 00:01:31.980 align:middle line:84% And this number continues to increase. 00:01:31.980 --> 00:01:35.820 align:middle line:84% They go on to tell us that in 20 years since the first edition 00:01:35.820 --> 00:01:39.300 align:middle line:84% of the book, the state's population had grown 40%, 00:01:39.300 --> 00:01:42.330 align:middle line:90% from 25 million to 35 million. 00:01:42.330 --> 00:01:46.950 align:middle line:84% And many of these people have moved to coastal communities. 00:01:46.950 --> 00:01:52.170 align:middle line:84% This population growth figure is even 10% faster 00:01:52.170 --> 00:01:54.570 align:middle line:84% than the remarkable interpretation of data 00:01:54.570 --> 00:01:57.240 align:middle line:84% with which I am familiar, and that data 00:01:57.240 --> 00:01:59.640 align:middle line:84% suggests that the population of California 00:01:59.640 --> 00:02:03.910 align:middle line:90% doubles every 50 years. 00:02:03.910 --> 00:02:07.290 align:middle line:84% The most recent statistics recorded in 2014 00:02:07.290 --> 00:02:13.950 align:middle line:84% show that the population of the state is 38.8 million people. 00:02:13.950 --> 00:02:16.110 align:middle line:84% To put this in perspective, Canada, 00:02:16.110 --> 00:02:20.460 align:middle line:84% the geographically enormous nation to our North, 00:02:20.460 --> 00:02:23.670 align:middle line:84% boasted a population of 35 million people 00:02:23.670 --> 00:02:25.020 align:middle line:90% in that same year. 00:02:25.020 --> 00:02:27.870 align:middle line:84% The difference between the population of California 00:02:27.870 --> 00:02:32.070 align:middle line:84% and the population of Canada is equal to the population 00:02:32.070 --> 00:02:34.020 align:middle line:90% of Orange County. 00:02:34.020 --> 00:02:39.210 align:middle line:84% Just one of California's many shore-loving regions. 00:02:39.210 --> 00:02:41.520 align:middle line:84% Living with the change in California coast 00:02:41.520 --> 00:02:45.060 align:middle line:84% also told me that for the bulk of the 20th century, 00:02:45.060 --> 00:02:50.400 align:middle line:84% sea-levels rose by about 1/10 of an inch per year 00:02:50.400 --> 00:02:53.610 align:middle line:90% or about an inch a decade. 00:02:53.610 --> 00:02:58.590 align:middle line:84% That's about 2.5 milimeters, if you're sciency 00:02:58.590 --> 00:03:01.290 align:middle line:84% in your way of thinking of things. 00:03:01.290 --> 00:03:05.970 align:middle line:84% A look at climate.nasa.gov's climate/sea levels page 00:03:05.970 --> 00:03:10.260 align:middle line:84% tells me that from May of 1993 when sea levels were 00:03:10.260 --> 00:03:14.190 align:middle line:84% at 4.9 millimeters, their satellite sea level 00:03:14.190 --> 00:03:16.290 align:middle line:84% observations have measured an increase 00:03:16.290 --> 00:03:18.480 align:middle line:90% of over 80 millimeters. 00:03:18.480 --> 00:03:21.420 align:middle line:84% The sea-level was measured in April of 2016 00:03:21.420 --> 00:03:24.030 align:middle line:90% at 87.1 millimeters. 00:03:24.030 --> 00:03:28.650 align:middle line:84% This equates to a sea-level rise of about 3.5 inches 00:03:28.650 --> 00:03:32.460 align:middle line:84% in 23 years, which is a bit faster 00:03:32.460 --> 00:03:36.360 align:middle line:84% than the rate of sea-level rise in our pre-industrial past. 00:03:36.360 --> 00:03:40.200 align:middle line:84% But which, as you may know, is slow in comparison 00:03:40.200 --> 00:03:42.600 align:middle line:84% to the rates of sea-level rise predicted 00:03:42.600 --> 00:03:45.900 align:middle line:84% as melting ice caps and decreased glaciation 00:03:45.900 --> 00:03:48.600 align:middle line:84% coupled with the expansion of warming sea waters 00:03:48.600 --> 00:03:52.530 align:middle line:84% increases the rate of sea-level rise. 00:03:52.530 --> 00:03:54.270 align:middle line:84% According to the book's authors-- 00:03:54.270 --> 00:03:55.800 align:middle line:84% This was like the cozy little book 00:03:55.800 --> 00:04:00.300 align:middle line:84% I read the other night before I went to sleep-- 00:04:00.300 --> 00:04:03.780 align:middle line:84% most scientists recognize that rates of sea-level rise 00:04:03.780 --> 00:04:04.740 align:middle line:90% are increasing. 00:04:04.740 --> 00:04:08.910 align:middle line:84% And that acceleration beyond present rates is likely. 00:04:08.910 --> 00:04:11.910 align:middle line:84% We are still uncertain, however, whether sea levels will 00:04:11.910 --> 00:04:15.030 align:middle line:84% rise another nine inches or so as experienced 00:04:15.030 --> 00:04:19.140 align:middle line:84% during the last century or three feet or more as 00:04:19.140 --> 00:04:21.540 align:middle line:90% has been predicted by some. 00:04:21.540 --> 00:04:23.790 align:middle line:84% Either way, the increase will mean 00:04:23.790 --> 00:04:26.340 align:middle line:84% the inundation of low-lying coastal land 00:04:26.340 --> 00:04:29.670 align:middle line:84% and the erosion of the shoreline processes, which 00:04:29.670 --> 00:04:32.850 align:middle line:84% we should begin to anticipate and plan for. 00:04:32.850 --> 00:04:35.360 align:middle line:90% 00:04:35.360 --> 00:04:39.260 align:middle line:84% I'm going to add that we are seeing what might look like-- 00:04:39.260 --> 00:04:42.500 align:middle line:84% what this all might look like in America and around the world 00:04:42.500 --> 00:04:43.880 align:middle line:90% already. 00:04:43.880 --> 00:04:48.140 align:middle line:84% The New York Times reported that this year in January, 00:04:48.140 --> 00:04:50.510 align:middle line:84% the Department of Housing and Urban Development 00:04:50.510 --> 00:04:54.710 align:middle line:84% announced grants totaling $1 billion in 13 states 00:04:54.710 --> 00:04:57.890 align:middle line:84% to help communities adapt to climate change 00:04:57.890 --> 00:05:01.880 align:middle line:84% by building stronger levees, dams, and drainage systems. 00:05:01.880 --> 00:05:07.490 align:middle line:84% One of these grants, $48 million for Isle de Jean Charles, which 00:05:07.490 --> 00:05:11.930 align:middle line:84% is located at the Southern end of the Gulf Coast of Louisiana, 00:05:11.930 --> 00:05:13.790 align:middle line:90% is something new. 00:05:13.790 --> 00:05:17.210 align:middle line:84% It is the first allocation of federal tax dollars 00:05:17.210 --> 00:05:20.540 align:middle line:84% to move an entire community struggling 00:05:20.540 --> 00:05:23.060 align:middle line:84% with the impacts of climate change. 00:05:23.060 --> 00:05:25.490 align:middle line:84% The homes on Isle de Jean Charles 00:05:25.490 --> 00:05:30.476 align:middle line:84% have been inundated by the effects of rising sea levels. 00:05:30.476 --> 00:05:34.970 align:middle line:84% Off of an atoll called Kiribati, near New Zealand, 00:05:34.970 --> 00:05:42.080 align:middle line:84% a man named Ioane Teitiota applied 00:05:42.080 --> 00:05:45.560 align:middle line:84% to become the world's first official climate change 00:05:45.560 --> 00:05:49.570 align:middle line:90% refugee in September of 2015. 00:05:49.570 --> 00:05:52.240 align:middle line:84% But the courts of New Zealand denied his claim, 00:05:52.240 --> 00:05:56.320 align:middle line:84% and sent him back to the island that at its highest point 00:05:56.320 --> 00:06:00.450 align:middle line:84% is only 3 meters above sea-level. 00:06:00.450 --> 00:06:03.600 align:middle line:84% A search of news articles about the threat of rising sea-levels 00:06:03.600 --> 00:06:07.240 align:middle line:84% in places like Micronesia suggests a bleak future 00:06:07.240 --> 00:06:07.740 align:middle line:90% for Mr.-- 00:06:07.740 --> 00:06:10.790 align:middle line:90% people like Mr Teitiota. 00:06:10.790 --> 00:06:13.160 align:middle line:84% Scientists are telling Micronesians, 00:06:13.160 --> 00:06:15.800 align:middle line:84% there will probably be three more feet 00:06:15.800 --> 00:06:19.070 align:middle line:84% of sea level rise in less than 90 years, 00:06:19.070 --> 00:06:23.330 align:middle line:84% with 6 and 1/2 more feet as an estimated upper bound, 00:06:23.330 --> 00:06:26.180 align:middle line:90% a distinct possibility. 00:06:26.180 --> 00:06:28.610 align:middle line:84% "Even a small rise of one meter," 00:06:28.610 --> 00:06:31.550 align:middle line:84% says this article I was reading, "would already 00:06:31.550 --> 00:06:33.380 align:middle line:90% have a devastating effect." 00:06:33.380 --> 00:06:37.490 align:middle line:84% This is from Masao Nakayama, the permanent representative 00:06:37.490 --> 00:06:40.730 align:middle line:84% of the Federated States of Micronesia. 00:06:40.730 --> 00:06:44.030 align:middle line:84% If it gets to a meter or higher, the islands 00:06:44.030 --> 00:06:46.580 align:middle line:90% would get uninhabitable. 00:06:46.580 --> 00:06:49.520 align:middle line:84% A rising water table is already turning salty 00:06:49.520 --> 00:06:51.170 align:middle line:84% in the center of islands, killing 00:06:51.170 --> 00:06:55.520 align:middle line:84% staple food crops like taro and many other kinds of plants. 00:06:55.520 --> 00:06:58.970 align:middle line:84% Sea-level rise is the most scary. 00:06:58.970 --> 00:07:04.070 align:middle line:84% You cannot put sea walls on all the islands, about 600 of them. 00:07:04.070 --> 00:07:08.090 align:middle line:84% Five hundred are small islands, like atoll islands, 00:07:08.090 --> 00:07:08.885 align:middle line:90% says Nakayama. 00:07:08.885 --> 00:07:11.860 align:middle line:90% 00:07:11.860 --> 00:07:16.180 align:middle line:84% Why am I reading to you all this science at news 00:07:16.180 --> 00:07:19.820 align:middle line:84% at what is supposed to be a poetry reading? 00:07:19.820 --> 00:07:24.530 align:middle line:84% On Tuesday, my daughter, Callie, who is in many ways 00:07:24.530 --> 00:07:28.100 align:middle line:84% the star of both of my forthcoming books, 00:07:28.100 --> 00:07:31.640 align:middle line:84% told her grandparents that she wanted them to call her, 00:07:31.640 --> 00:07:34.110 align:middle line:90% California. 00:07:34.110 --> 00:07:35.900 align:middle line:90% She was born in California. 00:07:35.900 --> 00:07:38.840 align:middle line:84% She told them, and her name is contained 00:07:38.840 --> 00:07:41.090 align:middle line:90% within the state's name. 00:07:41.090 --> 00:07:43.585 align:middle line:84% In fact, by the way, she's named after my grandmother 00:07:43.585 --> 00:07:44.960 align:middle line:84% and my grandmother's grandmother, 00:07:44.960 --> 00:07:50.620 align:middle line:84% but California, she wanted to be. 00:07:50.620 --> 00:07:54.340 align:middle line:84% Her insistence made me aware of the fact that even though we 00:07:54.340 --> 00:07:58.630 align:middle line:84% live in Colorado, my daughter's imagination center is 00:07:58.630 --> 00:08:02.140 align:middle line:84% in many ways still set in the state of her birth 00:08:02.140 --> 00:08:04.300 align:middle line:90% and her earliest years. 00:08:04.300 --> 00:08:07.150 align:middle line:84% This is the same state where both her mother and father 00:08:07.150 --> 00:08:09.980 align:middle line:84% lived for nearly 30 years of our own lives, 00:08:09.980 --> 00:08:11.950 align:middle line:90% both separately and together. 00:08:11.950 --> 00:08:14.560 align:middle line:84% And one about which we likely talk and think 00:08:14.560 --> 00:08:19.180 align:middle line:84% about more frequently than we are able to recognize. 00:08:19.180 --> 00:08:21.850 align:middle line:84% What I am saying is that in our household, 00:08:21.850 --> 00:08:25.690 align:middle line:84% California dominates our imagination. 00:08:25.690 --> 00:08:30.400 align:middle line:84% When I think of landscape in which to set a poem, 00:08:30.400 --> 00:08:33.520 align:middle line:84% I usually think of California generally. 00:08:33.520 --> 00:08:38.350 align:middle line:84% And more specifically, I think of some area within 30 miles 00:08:38.350 --> 00:08:40.500 align:middle line:90% of the California coast. 00:08:40.500 --> 00:08:41.000 align:middle line:90%